Tuesday, February 22, 2011
Predicting the Academy Awards - Part 1!
It is nearly upon us, and I am both excited and sad that the season is nearly over again. The Academy Awards are this Sunday, and with all of the ballots now officially in, it is time to offer up my final set of predictions for this upcoming Sunday. Now, here's the drill, I'm doing this in two parts, with Part 1 I will predict every category save for Best Picture, then in Part 2 I plan on running down all ten movies up for Best Picture and rank them in order from the least likely to win to the movie that I think will take home the prize. As well, as I typically do, I will not try and predict the Oscar shorts categories because living in Birmingham, AL, doesn't do me any wonders in terms of trying to predict those categories. In general, I am foreseeing big returns for Inception in the tech categories, that is where the Academy's love for it will come, and more of The King's Speech in the majors, though I'm still holding out for The Social Network in a few areas. So without any more waiting, my predictions for the Oscars:
Best Visual Effects - Inception
Best Sound Mixing - Inception
Best Sound Editing - Inception
Best Music (Original Song) - Toy Story 3
Best Music (Original Score) - The King's Speech
Best Film Editing - The King's Speech
Best Makeup - The Wolfman
Best Costume Design - Alice in Wonderland
Best Cinematography - Inception
Best Art Direction - Alice in Wonderland
Best Writing (Original Screenplay) - David Seidler, The King's Speech
Best Writing (Adapted Screenplay) - Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
Best Supporting Actress - Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech
Best Supporting Actor - Christian Bale, The Fighter
Best Actress - Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Best Actor - Colin Firth, The King's Speech
Best Director - David Fincher, The Social Network
Best Documentary (Feature) - Inside Job
I would have leaned towards Exit Through the Gift Shop a few weeks ago, but since the recent debate as to whether or not the movie is in fact truth or a mockumentary probably lost it the Oscar, so I've gotta go with Inside Job. A safe pick, political, current, but not as obnoxious as say a Michael Moore film.
Best Foreign Language Film - Biutiful (Mexico)
This is the category I know the least about, because so many of these foreign flicks don't come to my area. I do know that the Academy tends to vote with their heart in this category, so I definitely could see this one with the prize, and obviously there is love for this one with Javier Bardem up for Best Actor.
Best Animated Feature Film - Toy Story 3
I really don't see this one going to any other movie, though I do think there is a small chance that How to Train Your Dragon could spoil Toy Story 3, but I think that the Academy will want to honor Pixar's flagship franchise with an actual Oscar to go alongside the honorary award that John Lasseter got for the first Toy Story in the '90s.
So that's Part 1, come back in a few days for my prediction for Best Picture!